BTC’s Struggle to Break Through $25,600 and Key Factors Affecting its Future


Bitcoin is finally showing signs of recovery, but it continues to face challenges in breaking through the $25,600 level. 

As Bitcoin faces resistance at this key price point, market participants eagerly await key developments that could shape the cryptocurrency’s trajectory. 

What are the driving forces behind BTC’s struggle to break through $25,600, and what implications do these factors hold for the future of Bitcoin? 

This analysis delves into the current market dynamics and explores the key factors influencing BTC’s price movement.

MicroStrategy’s Saylor Foresees Bitcoin-Only Future Amidst Regulatory Scrutiny in the US

Saylor emphasized that MicroStrategy has held the opinion since 2020 that bitcoin (BTC) is the “only institutional-grade investable asset in the crypto space.” 

He highlighted the widespread acceptance of Bitcoin as a digital asset on a global scale and assumed that authorities do not foresee a promising future for other cryptocurrencies.

According to Saylor, there is a lack of enthusiasm for cryptocurrency tokens among regulators and a limited perspective on cryptocurrency exchanges. 

In their opinion, cryptocurrency exchanges should focus primarily on trading, storing, and exchanging pure digital commodities like bitcoin. 

They believe that the entire cryptocurrency sector will eventually narrow down to a niche centered around Bitcoin, along with a few other proof-of-work tokens.

During a Bloomberg interview, Saylor expressed his belief that the general public gradually recognizes that “Bitcoin is the next Bitcoin.” 

He also speculated that Bitcoin’s value could potentially increase by a factor of 10 and then repeat the process.

Saylor emphasized the importance of regulatory clarity in driving Bitcoin adoption.

Not surprisingly, there were dissenting opinions regarding Saylor’s viewpoint, as not everyone shared the same perspective. 

Critics argued that relying on the state’s monopoly of force to protect Bitcoin from market competition might not be the optimal approach.

Celsius to Convert 15 Different Tokens to Bitcoin and Ethereum

The address, created on June 21, 2010, decided to transfer its entire balance of 50 BTC, equivalent to $1.25 million, despite the recent 7.5% decrease in the price of Bitcoin this month. 

This marked the address’s first transaction in over 12 years. 

Transfers of block rewards from 2010 had become less frequent, especially compared to when the coin’s value was twice as high. 

Btcparser.com, a blockchain parser, detected the complete amount transfer from the “13CFn” address.

According to the official Twitter account, Celsius has announced that starting from July 1st, they will sell all altcoins held by their customers (excluding custody and withhold accounts) and convert them into Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The sale of these tokens is expected to generate more than $215 million, contributing to the existing selling pressure in the market. 

The impact of these sales will be somewhat mitigated by diversifying the proceeds among 15 different crypto assets.

However, it’s important to note that the plan to exchange the cryptocurrencies for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) needs approval from the bankruptcy court. 

David Adler, who represents a group of debtors in the case, including McCarter & English, has opposed the proposed scheme. 

Adler tweeted that this treatment violates consumer lending laws that are currently in place.

Hong Kong Embraces Crypto Exchanges Amid SEC Crackdown, Says Lawmaker

Following the recent crackdown by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on unregistered cryptocurrency exchanges and securities tokens, Hong Kong lawmaker Johnny Ng is urging international cryptocurrency exchanges to apply for a license to operate in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong has updated its regulatory framework to foster innovation and cryptocurrency development. 

The new regulation, effective since June 1, aims to encompass all aspects of the public’s engagement with virtual assets. 

The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) stated that the new framework focuses on investor protection, market integrity, and managing risks to financial institutions.

Many prominent cryptocurrency exchanges, including Binance and Coinbase, have been scrutinized by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

In addition, the regulator has taken steps to freeze assets owned by Binance US.

Brian Armstrong, the CEO of Coinbase, has reaffirmed that his exchange does not list securities. 

He has expressed Coinbase’s determination to challenge the SEC in court and establish clear regulatory standards for the Bitcoin industry.

Amidst these developments, Gary Gensler, the SEC chair, maintains that there are existing regulations governing cryptocurrency exchanges and considers the majority of crypto tokens, excluding Bitcoin, as securities. 

However, Gensler and the SEC have faced criticism from industry players and lawmakers for their enforcement-focused approach to regulating the Bitcoin market.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 

Bitcoin ($BTC) is currently experiencing a period of consolidation as it struggles to surpass the resistance level of $25,600. 

During the four-hour timeframe, Bitcoin tested the support level at $24,750 and formed a bullish hammer candlestick, indicating a potential reversal in the market. 

The subsequent candlestick closed above the support level, suggesting the presence of bullish momentum.

It is important to note that Bitcoin has already completed a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement around the $25,600 level. 

Failure to break above this level may hinder further upward movement. 

Bitcoin Price chart:: Source: Tradingview

Monitoring the key level of $25,600 is critical to determine the continuation of bullish sentiment. 

However, the relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicators provide mixed signals. 

The RSI remains below 50, indicating a bearish bias, but it has recently bounced above the zero line, entering the buying zone. 

The MACD also crosses above its signal line, supporting the possibility of a bullish continuation.

If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $25,600 level, it could potentially target resistance levels at $26,000 and $26,250. 

On the downside, immediate support can be found around $25,150 and $24,750.

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